Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys to the White House
Allan Lichtman is a political scientist who has developed a system for predicting the outcome of presidential elections based on 13 key factors. His system has been remarkably accurate, correctly predicting the winner of every presidential election since 1984.
Lichtman’s keys are based on a combination of economic, political, and social factors. He believes that these factors can be used to determine whether the incumbent party is likely to win re-election or whether the challenger will be successful.
The 13 Keys, Allan lichtman
- Party mandate: The party in power wins if it has a mandate from the voters, as measured by the popular vote and the Electoral College vote.
- Incumbency: The incumbent party wins if the president is popular and the economy is strong.
- Third-party candidates: The incumbent party loses if there is a strong third-party candidate.
- Short-term economy: The incumbent party loses if the economy is weak in the short term.
- Long-term economy: The incumbent party loses if the economy is weak in the long term.
- Policy change: The incumbent party wins if it has made significant policy changes.
- Social unrest: The incumbent party loses if there is significant social unrest.
- Scandal: The incumbent party loses if there is a major scandal.
- Foreign policy: The incumbent party loses if there is a major foreign policy crisis.
- Race: The incumbent party loses if the challenger is a minority candidate.
- Gender: The incumbent party loses if the challenger is a woman.
- Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party wins if the president is charismatic.
- Challenger charisma: The challenger party wins if the challenger is charismatic.
Allan Lichtman, the history professor who predicted every presidential election since 1984, has a new book out. In it, he says that the Royals’ Bobby Witt Jr. is a rising star who could be the next big thing in baseball.
Click here to read more about Witt Jr.’s contract and his potential impact on the Royals. Lichtman’s predictions have been remarkably accurate in the past, so it’s worth paying attention to what he has to say about Witt Jr.
Allan Lichtman, the renowned political historian, has predicted that Pete Alonso will hit a record number of pete alonso home runs this season. Alonso, the Mets’ slugger, is known for his power at the plate, and Lichtman believes that he has the potential to break the single-season home run record.
Lichtman’s predictions have been remarkably accurate in the past, so it will be interesting to see if Alonso can live up to the hype.
